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AI 2027

(ai-2027.com)
949 points Tenoke | 1 comments | 03 Apr 25 16:13 UTC | HN request time: 0.224s | source
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ahofmann ◴[03 Apr 25 17:04 UTC] No.43572563[source]▶
Ok, I'll bite. I predict that everything in this article is horse manure. AGI will not happen. LLMs will be tools, that can automate away stuff, like today and they will get slightly, or quite a bit better at it. That will be all. See you in two years, I'm excited what will be the truth.
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mitthrowaway2 ◴[03 Apr 25 17:22 UTC] No.43572802[source]▶
What's an example of an intellectual task that you don't think AI will be capable of by 2027?
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coolThingsFirst ◴[03 Apr 25 17:25 UTC] No.43572831[source]▶
programming
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lumenwrites ◴[03 Apr 25 17:29 UTC] No.43572872[source]▶
Why would it get 60-80% as good as human programmers (which is what the current state of things feels like to me, as a programmer, using these tools for hours every day), but stop there?
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1. boringg ◴[03 Apr 25 17:35 UTC] No.43572943[source]▶
Because ewe still haven't figured out fusion but its been promised for decades. Why would everything thats been promised by people with highly vested interests pan out any different?

One is inherently a more challenging physics problem.