https://www.amazon.com/Making-Sense-Chaos-author/dp/02412019...
https://www.amazon.com/Making-Sense-Chaos-author/dp/02412019...
This has proven out in the acceleration of actual weather prediction using AI which means it can be feasibly run on a single desktop machine.
I think its not a stretch to imagine that a) there is a way to simulate the whole economy at the same level of quality as a weather or climate simulation b) AI can accelerate the computations to the point they can run on accessible hardware.
We need this whole economy simulation ... to answer practical questions such as - if we dole out UBI to everyone to cover basic living costs, will that simply result in the cost of rent going up to absorb the whole amount ?
"How will humans (in aggregate) behave under novel conditions?"
Models tend to behave poorly when asked about things outside their training distribution.