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Waymos crash less than human drivers

(www.understandingai.org)
345 points rbanffy | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.581s | source
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wnissen ◴[] No.43487648[source]
Serious crash rates are a hockey stick pattern. 20% of the drivers cause 80% of the crashes, to a rough approximation. For the worst 20% of drivers, the Waymo is almost certainly better already.

Honestly, at this point I am more interested in whether they can operate their service profitably and affordably, because they are clearly nailing the technical side.

For example data from a 100 driver study, see table 2.11, p. 29. https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/37370 Roughly the same number of drivers had 0 or 1 near-crashes as had 13-50+. One of the drivers had 56 near crashes and 4 actual crashes in less than 20K miles! So the average isn't that helpful here.

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jonplackett ◴[] No.43491630[source]
Is Waymo doing ‘easier’ miles than an average human in any way? How limited is their range and types of roads they’ll use?
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danaris ◴[] No.43492620[source]
Yes, vastly easier.

As I understand it, they limit their range to a few cities in the American Southwest and West Coast, and don't operate in bad weather.

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1. Zigurd ◴[] No.43493266[source]
Waymo claims to operate in fog and rain since 2021: https://waymo.com/blog/2021/11/a-fog-blog