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129 points jxmorris12 | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.45s | source
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consumer451 ◴[] No.43131341[source]
Satya Nadella on AGI:

> Before I get to what Microsoft's revenue will look like, there's only one governor in all of this. This is where we get a little bit ahead of ourselves with all this AGI hype. Remember the developed world, which is what? 2% growth and if you adjust for inflation it’s zero?

> So in 2025, as we sit here, I'm not an economist, at least I look at it and say we have a real growth challenge. So, the first thing that we all have to do is, when we say this is like the Industrial Revolution, let's have that Industrial Revolution type of growth.

> That means to me, 10%, 7%, developed world, inflation-adjusted, growing at 5%. That's the real marker. It can't just be supply-side.

> In fact that’s the thing, a lot of people are writing about it, and I'm glad they are, which is the big winners here are not going to be tech companies. The winners are going to be the broader industry that uses this commodity that, by the way, is abundant. Suddenly productivity goes up and the economy is growing at a faster rate. When that happens, we'll be fine as an industry.

> But that's to me the moment... us self-claiming some AGI milestone, that's just nonsensical benchmark hacking to me. The real benchmark is: the world growing at 10%.

https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/satya-nadella

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NewJazz ◴[] No.43131690[source]
FYI I know Nadella said he wasn't an economist, and I'm not either, but you only need an econ minor to know that labor productivity growth is only one function of "economic growth". For two, there is GDP and real wages to consider (which are often substantially though partially linked to labor productivity growth). Gini coefficient may be hard to contend with for people like tech CEOs, but they can't ignore it. And then the "215 lb" elephant in the room -- the evaporation of previously earned global gains from trade liberalization.
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snailmailstare ◴[] No.43131819[source]
I only took one economics class so I'm not familiar with this dieting elephant?
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1. NewJazz ◴[] No.43133110[source]
The elephant is the guy starting the trade war(s).
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2. snailmailstare ◴[] No.43134259[source]
Ah, then that is a strange way to partially switch over to the metric system.