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Grok 3: Another win for the bitter lesson

(www.thealgorithmicbridge.com)
129 points kiyanwang | 3 comments | 20 Feb 25 07:15 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
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ArtTimeInvestor ◴[20 Feb 25 08:07 UTC] No.43112245[source]▶
It looks like the USA is bringing all technology in-house that is needed to build AI.

TSMC has a factory in the USA now, ASML too. OpenAI, Google, xAI and Nvidia are natively in the USA.

While no other country is even close to build AI on their own.

Is the USA going to "own" the world by becoming the keeper of AI? Or is there an alternative future that has a probability > 0?

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OccamsMirror ◴[20 Feb 25 08:08 UTC] No.43112250[source]▶
Are LLMs really going to own the world?
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throw310822 ◴[20 Feb 25 08:15 UTC] No.43112284[source]▶
Intelligence is everything. These things are intelligent- already superhuman in speed and a few limited domains, soon they're going to exceed humans in almost every respect. The advantage they give to the country that owns them is nuclear-weapons like.
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habinero ◴[20 Feb 25 11:47 UTC] No.43113583[source]▶
This is just flat out not true. They're not intelligent and not capable of becoming so. They aren't reliable, by design.

They're a wildly overhyped solution in search of a problem.

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1. throw310822 ◴[20 Feb 25 12:54 UTC] No.43114088{3}[source]▶
I don't understand this attitude and I am not sure where it comes from- either from generic skepticism, or from some sort of psychological refusal.(*) It's just obvious to me that you're completely wrong and you'll have a hard wake up, eventually.

* "I know how this works and it's just numbers all the way down" is not an argument of any validity, just to be clear- everything eventually is just physics, blind mechanics.

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2. Amekedl ◴[21 Feb 25 07:13 UTC] No.43124908[source]▶
Check out operations research.

The amount of “work” done there is staggering and yet adoption appears abysmal, using such solutions with success only happens as part of a really “well oiled” machine.

And what about the simple difficulty going from 99% to 99.9%. What percentage are we even talking about today? We don’t know, but very rich people think it is cool and blindly keep investing more billions.

3. habinero ◴[22 Feb 25 02:55 UTC] No.43135641[source]▶
You're entirely free to go on and on about how amazing the emperor's clothes are. Nobody can stop you. :)

It's fine to chase hype for hobbyist or starter projects, but part of being an engineer is understanding how things actually work and what their limitations are.

It's not a virtue to deify a statistics model and make it your entire personality.