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Is the world becoming uninsurable?

(charleshughsmith.substack.com)
476 points spking | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.001s | source
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franciscop ◴[] No.42733484[source]
I'm not sure I follow this: "why are we subsidizing people to rebuild in places that are clearly no longer habitable"

Does/Why would the insurance assume the subsidy is for people rebuilding in the same place? Money is fungible and so it doesn't need to be in the same place, at all. What I'd expect is that insurance for those hard-to-insure places would skyrocket and thus a new balance would be achieved.

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floatrock ◴[] No.42733586[source]
You would expect that in a rational market. But go down a reading hole about flood insurance. tl;dr: in many places in the US, the only company that offers flood insurance is the US government because everyone else has pulled out. And people do tend to use the money to rebuild in the same location -- reasons as varied as "I like my beachhouse" to "my entire community was born and lived in this parish and I aint leaving".

Now that the physics of insolvency are starting to overcome political pressure of keeping Daddy Bailout-Bucks around, and people are whispering "managed retreat" without actually being able to say it outloud around polite company, we are starting to see programs like "we'll make you whole in case of a flood, but you aren't allowed to rebuild on the lot if you take our payout". But those buyouts are often met with yells of "government is taking my property!" because again, no one wants to face the stark reality of managed retreat.

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1. Sabinus ◴[] No.42734279[source]
>people are whispering "managed retreat" without actually being able to say it outloud around polite company, we are starting to see programs like "we'll make you whole in case of a flood, but you aren't allowed to rebuild on the lot if you take our payout". But those buyouts are often met with yells of "government is taking my property!" because again, no one wants to face the stark reality of managed retreat.

I know politics is famous for elites abusing it for their own benefit, but sometimes the population is truly not ready for something that the elites understand is utterly necessary and that's not a bad thing. The risks and benefits of an elite class, I guess.

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2. trollbridge ◴[] No.42737511[source]
I live right next to a flood plain and the government doesn’t allow building in 100 year flood plains. This means you can’t get a mortgage for it, and the land is also very cheap - which can be used for grazing animals, growing crops, hunting preserves, or perhaps camping. The land is dry much of the year.

I have observed new owners do things like build open sided barns (which legally aren’t a building). Other owners live in camper trailers on the property. One just finished building an (illegal, obviously didn’t get a building permit) property up on stilts (which will get washed away if any serious flooding happens).

On the plus side, this is all not insurance and not mortgageable, and also won’t survive being sold to someone else, as no title insurance would cover these structures and a mortgage lender would require they be torn down first.