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623 points magicalhippo | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.52s | source
1. tim333 ◴[] No.42621805[source]
I've followed progress since Moravec's "When will computer hardware match the human brain?" since that came out in 1997. It starts:

>This paper describes how the performance of AI machines tends to improve at the same pace that AI researchers get access to faster hardware. The processing power and memory capacity necessary to match general intellectual performance of the human brain are estimated. Based on extrapolation of past trends and on examination of technologies under development, it is predicted that the required hardware will be available in cheap machines in the 2020s.

and this is about the first personal unit that seems well ahead of his proposed specs. (He estimated 0.1 petaflops. The nvidia thing is "1 petaflop of AI performance at FP4 precision").

(paper https://jetpress.org/volume1/moravec.pdf)