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Why everyone missed solar's exponential growth

(www.exponentialview.co)
46 points xbmcuser | 1 comments | 21 Nov 24 01:35 UTC | HN request time: 0.292s | source
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grecy ◴[21 Nov 24 06:46 UTC] No.42201773[source]▶
There is also an enormous amount of money tied up in old power, guaranteed profits for companies that run old plants and political games denying climate change and turning the population against renewables.

Nobody wants to predict a future they know will be unpopular and make a lot of people angry.

I.e. when I say you won’t even be able to buy a new ICE vehicle on roughly 10 years people get very confrontational and angry

replies(3): >>42201919 #>>42201923 #>>42203704 #
1. pge ◴[21 Nov 24 12:35 UTC] No.42203704[source]▶
Three or four years ago, I would have agreed with your statement about ICE vehicles. Now I question it, at least for the US market. The initial wave of EVs that followed Tesla’s success has ebbed. American manufacturers are dropping, rather than adding EV models. European and Asian manufacturers are not releasing their EV models in the US market (eg VW ID.3), because there’s too little demand. Given all that, I don’t know how the market will reach the critical mass necessary to ensure that charger infrastructure gets built.