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577 points mooreds | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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staplung ◴[] No.42176496[source]
It's worth mentioning that cable breakages happen quite often; globally about 200 times per year [1] and the article itself mentions that just last year, two other cables and a gas pipeline were taken out by an anchor. The Gulf of Finland is evidently quite shallow. From what I understand, cable repair ships are likely to use ROVs for parts of repair jobs but only when the water is shallow so hopefully they can figure out whether the damage looks like sabotage before they sever the cable to repair it. Of course, if you're a bad actor and want plausible deniability, maybe you'd make it look like anchor damage or, deliberately drag an anchor right over the cables.

Cable repairs are certainly annoying and for the operator of the cable, expensive. However, they are usually repaired relatively quickly. I'd be more worried if many more cables were severed at the same time. If you're only going to break one or two a year, you might as well not bother.

1: https://www.theverge.com/c/24070570/internet-cables-undersea...

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ValentinA23 ◴[] No.42178949[source]
A 1 in 36 million chance for three breaks in one day.

https://mathb.in/80217

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gleenn ◴[] No.42178979[source]
That's assuming independence. I'm not ruling out sabotage but the world is often not fully independent. A storm or an anchor both may affect multiple cables if they're in generally the same area which would definitely make the probability far more likely than those stated. (edit typo)
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ValentinA23 ◴[] No.42179089{3}[source]
Indeed !

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/lithuania-sweden-...

>Lithuania-Sweden subsea cable cut, was 10m from severed Finnish-German cable

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1. lrasinen ◴[] No.42184163{4}[source]
I don't buy that number (no source is attributed to it), or rather, I don't believe there's a single incident causing this.

The C-Lion1 cable is predominantly North-East - South-West whereas the BCS cable is NW-SE. They do meet, but the C-Lion1 operator Cinia says their cable broke about 700 km from Helsinki, east of the southern tip of the Öland island. That's easily over 150 km south from where the cables meet.

Also, C-Lion1 was reported broken at 4m, and the BCS cable at 10am the previous day.