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Fair coins tend to land on the side they started (2023)

(www.researchgate.net)
392 points seanhunter | 2 comments | 19 Nov 24 09:03 UTC | HN request time: 0.448s | source
1. fedeb95 ◴[19 Nov 24 14:55 UTC] No.42184078[source]▶
you shouldn't bet on it though
replies(1): >>42184281 #
2. Vecr ◴[19 Nov 24 15:14 UTC] No.42184281[source]▶
Probably not. A reasonable Kelly calculation would make the attempt negative utility. Too much overhead. Also, depending on who's betting against who, deviating from the very particular protocol in the study would be highly incentivized.