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271 points nradov | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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incomingpain ◴[] No.42172690[source]
Admittedly I'm not familiar with bhutan. Besides basics, and buddhism connections. Lets take a look.

>Prime Minister Tshering Tobgay believes it is ironically the success of Gross National Happiness that has made young Bhutanese so sought after abroad.

They are 95th place for GDP.

125th place for HDI.

I wouldn't even consider working on 'happiness' with the numbers that bad.

Bhutan's balance of trade appears to be entirely negative. So the country is getting poorer.

Their GDP numbers are 5% growth every year? That seems impossible.

3% unemployment and 65% participation rate.

Lets call it a ~4-5% inflation average or worse.

6.8% interest rate, while never ever being below 6%? So they target what 5%? So its not that GDP growth at 5% is impossible. They are essentially saying they havent had gdp growth in decades, they are hiding a major depression?

In the last 10 years Bhutan has doubled their money supply, while population is leaving? LOL incoming government collapse.

government debt to gdp is ~130%. 100% is the magical threshold you're not allowed to cross. If you're the federal reserve and Tbills reputation might allow you to go above 100% like the USA in 2020... but Bhutan has no such ability. They likely cant cross ~40% if i were to estimate.

Major deficit spending across the last 25 years.

Sales tax of 50%

Income tax of 30%

>Bhutan was, and is today, largely a subsistence agricultural society. Many families still live in multigenerational farmhouses.

I'd be leaving as well. Nobody is seeking Bhutan people. The bhutan people are fleeing the inevitable.

Bhutan is about 20% debt/gdp from a venezuela level collapse. If by some magic they dont collapse there, they are about 40% from a greece like collapse.

Bhutan is already about 10% higher than the Sri Lankan collapse.

Fleee Bhutan while you can.

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insane_dreamer ◴[] No.42173345[source]
> I'm not familiar with bhutan > Fleee Bhutan while you can.

maybe familiarize yourself with the country at a deeper level before throwing out recommendations based on a few select metrics which may or may not be that relevant (GDP in particular is not a good metric)

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incomingpain ◴[] No.42174033[source]
>maybe familiarize yourself with the country at a deeper level before throwing out recommendations based on a few select metrics which may or may not be that relevant (GDP in particular is not a good metric)

Perhaps there's more analysis for you personally but when I look at those numbers.

30% poverty, 20-40% unemployment is coming. identical to their peers in similar financial situations.

I dont need any further analysis. What other 'deeper' facts do you want to look at?

How about a huge one I didnt even add.

Firearms per 100 people, places Bhutan about 196th in the world. They arent even a free country. Flee asap.

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1. surgical_fire ◴[] No.42176257[source]
> Firearms per 100 people, places Bhutan about 196th in the world. They arent even a free country. Flee asap.

More firearms per people equals more freedom?

This has to be one of the worst rationales I have read on HN. Not an easy feat.

And I really struggled to post this while avoiding some harsher words. Also not an easy feat.