> Saw an Arista presentation about the increase in SFP capacity, it's Moore law style stuff.
SFP itself isnt much the issue. Serdes is, and then secondarily the operating power envelope for the things (especially for the kinds of optics that run hot). Many tradeoffs available.
>I can't see traditional DVB/ATSC surviging much beyond 2040 even accounting for the long tail.
Tend to agree in well-developed infra, but rural and poorly-developed are well served with more traditional broadcast. Just saying “starlink!” 5 times in a dark bathroom won’t fix that part.
> Personally I don't think the latency is solved yet -- TV is slow enough (about 10 seconds from camera to TV), but IP streaming tends to add another 20-40 seconds on top of that.
I dont think it will get better. Probably worse, but with net better service quality. HLS/DASH are designed for doing the bursty networking thing. Among good reasons for this, mobile works much better in bursts than strict linear streams, segment caching is highly effective, etc.
But I think this makes sense: its a server-side buffering thing that has to happen. So assuming transmuxing (no transcoding lol) and wire latency are 0, we’re hitting the 1-5 seconds for the segment, probably waiting for a fill of 10 seconds to produce the manifest, then buffering client-side another 10 or so. Throw in more cache boxes and it’ll tick up more. It is quite high, but aside from bookies, i dont know how much people will actually care vs complain.