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Maybe Bluesky has "won"

(anderegg.ca)
461 points GavinAnderegg | 11 comments | 15 Nov 24 19:56 UTC | HN request time: 1.064s | source | bottom
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nabla9 ◴[15 Nov 24 20:06 UTC] No.42150372[source]▶
Threads has 275 million monthly active users.

Bluesky has now 15 million total users (how many active?)

Mastodon monthly active usage has dropped below 1 million.

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1. moralestapia ◴[15 Nov 24 20:20 UTC] No.42150501[source]▶
X is at 600 million MAU, for reference.

Edit: Thanks @JumpCrisscross.

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2. moogly ◴[15 Nov 24 20:23 UTC] No.42150535[source]▶
And minus bots?
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3. moralestapia ◴[15 Nov 24 20:27 UTC] No.42150591[source]▶
No idea but bots are not exclusive to X.
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4. JumpCrisscross ◴[15 Nov 24 20:33 UTC] No.42150662[source]▶
600mm*
5. threeseed ◴[15 Nov 24 20:34 UTC] No.42150676[source]▶
The trend is what is important. Threads is growing at 1m new users a day.

And at least here in Australia, X is ranked #69 on the App Store. Threads #2.

Year from now, Threads could well be bigger.

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6. moogly ◴[15 Nov 24 20:35 UTC] No.42150688{3}[source]▶
Nope, but I'd wager the share is way higher than on the other services as of right now.
replies(1): >>42150779 #
7. moralestapia ◴[15 Nov 24 20:43 UTC] No.42150779{4}[source]▶
Hmm ... yeah but that's wandering into "the supposition of a supposition" territory.
8. redox99 ◴[15 Nov 24 21:40 UTC] No.42151451[source]▶
App store ranking is kind of irrelevant, it favors new rising platforms, and underestimates an existing platform with a consolidated user base.
9. r00fus ◴[16 Nov 24 00:09 UTC] No.42152845[source]▶
App Store ranking isn't entire organic - can be juiced with ads.
10. Ferret7446 ◴[16 Nov 24 11:42 UTC] No.42155904[source]▶
The expected trend varies depending on the stage in the curve. Threads is at the size were a positive trend should be exponential. Once you've fully expanded, a positive trend would be a very tiny growth as you've already captured the entire market.
11. lavezzi ◴[16 Nov 24 18:20 UTC] No.42158009{3}[source]▶
But they are exclusively the majority on X