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249 points jaboutboul | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.2s | source
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legitster ◴[] No.42130253[source]
Obviously there are no details yet, but I suspect it's as simple as:

- Polymarket is still very illegal in the US

- Lol. We all know it's easy to get around that

- If the CEO knew or was complicit in US citizens breaking laws, he could be in trouble. And if there was evidence he was encouraging it, he could be in big trouble

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orblivion ◴[] No.42131193[source]
Kalshi got the goahead from an appeals court to list election bets. I think Robinhood added election bets soonafter. Is there a reason that wouldn't apply to Polymarket? Granted, Polymarket was operating before that ruling.

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-rulin...

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1. nl ◴[] No.42132271[source]
Kalshi is allowed to offer Futures under supervision of the CFTC[1]. The CFTC had previously said that prediction markets are not futures (they claimed they are illegal gaming), and Kalshi sued to get a ruling that they are futures.

Polymarket has avoided coming under regulation by the CFTC by avoiding US users. For their markets to be legal under current regulations they'd have to have all their markets approved by CFTC.

[1] https://kalshi.com/blog/article/how-is-kalshi-regulated