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Learning not to trust the All-In podcast

(passingtime.substack.com)
460 points paulpauper | 12 comments | | HN request time: 0.467s | source | bottom
1. senkora ◴[] No.42068061[source]
The one that I always remember is how they shilled for Solana immediately before it crashed hard. (I have never had any position in any crypto)

I feel like their show has an implicit subtext where you’re expected to understand when they are lying. You get to feel smart by recognizing when they’re just talking their book.

The tricky question is whether there is any value in the podcast besides understanding their book.

replies(4): >>42068112 #>>42072738 #>>42075082 #>>42075954 #
2. seattleeng ◴[] No.42068112[source]
I think you’re exactly right, it’s a show for insiders to know what these 4 people think so the next time they directly or indirectly encounter them they are known quantities. Its masked as news & informative media but its principally brand marketing for these 4 people and their funds & companies.
replies(1): >>42072534 #
3. Melting_Harps ◴[] No.42072534[source]
> I think you’re exactly right, it’s a show for insiders to know what these 4 people think so the next time they directly or indirectly encounter them they are known quantities. Its masked as news & informative media but its principally brand marketing for these 4 people and their funds & companies.

I use it as a 'weight' of sorts when dealing with topics i know about, mainly Bitcoin and AI since I'm involved both those spaces--they really have a limited grasp about some basic concepts, and when you realize that Chamath (the biggest winner of the 4) has a very limited grasp about bitcoin, and admitadly cannot even grasp basic things like how to self-custody you start to realize why these guys are so scummy and him being called the SPAC-King is not a highly regarded moniker at all.

Admittedly, they did call the top on the '22 crypto winter, mainly becauwe I think they had already sold all f thier holdings and were looking for a sale--see Chamath's portfolio where BTC and Grok are his best performers

I don't want to to talk about Sacks or Kraft because his proximity to trump will now make him a defacto king-maker and make everything he touches seem like it was a well thoughout plan, as he was the one who ushered the SV/VC crowd to embrace Trump after Theil et al had laid the ground in true Paypal mafia style.

They are entertainment, the same way Cramer from MSNBC is, but what it does reveal is the narrative they want to push: what you glean from that is entirely up to you, inverse Cramer made a real killing for a bit on WSB. My real questions is what the depth will these Musk boot-lickers go, and who buys 1k+ tickets in order to go to these events? It's probably teh smae who will lie to your face that Twitter was a wild success despite having lost almost all of it's vaklue when this 'genius' CEO (who is now supposed to be in Government in the Trump cabinet) exposed himself to be the absolute incompetent fraud that he is.

replies(1): >>42073994 #
4. 9cb14c1ec0 ◴[] No.42072738[source]
They are standard VCs who constantly hype the latest fads. I remember when the Apple Vision Pro was going to change the world overnight, according to All-In. Currently jcal loves to talk about forcing all his employees to use chatgpt as their default search engine. I'd be willing to bet that won't be the case anymore in 6 months. Still, I listen to them regularly because now and then I learn something genuinely useful.
replies(1): >>42073749 #
5. steve_adams_86 ◴[] No.42073749[source]
What is something useful you have learned? It has been ages since I listened, but I stopped because I felt like I wasn't gaining any insight from it. Maybe I'm missing out now?
6. throwaway-blaze ◴[] No.42073994{3}[source]
You can say you don't care for Elon for a thousand reasons, but you lose credibility if you call the guy who is leading multiple companies that are crushing it in their respective fields an "incompetent fraud".
replies(1): >>42084546 #
7. nailer ◴[] No.42075082[source]
If you purchased Solana at that point and held it, or purchased it during that crash, you would be very happy now.
replies(2): >>42076829 #>>42079326 #
8. r0fl ◴[] No.42075954[source]
I think the value is just entertainment. Any advice they give should be taken with a grain of salt
9. senkora ◴[] No.42076829[source]
I don’t think it’s fully returned to the level it was at when the episode aired (I forget the exact episode so I can’t say for sure), but you do have a point.

Certainly anyone who bought Solana after it crashed did very well:

(adjust the time range to “all”) https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/solana/

replies(1): >>42077580 #
10. nailer ◴[] No.42077580{3}[source]
Week before FTX crash it was 24, just before the crash (FTX crash happened after Breakpoint where Google announced they were running Solana validators and Meta added Solana support to Instagram) it was 36, it crashed to 8.

It's now at 180-ish.

11. nailer ◴[] No.42079326[source]
(I should probably point out that I’m copying the language of the parent here ‘buying Solana’ is like ‘buying Linux’ - the parent means buying SOL.
12. Melting_Harps ◴[] No.42084546{4}[source]
> but you lose credibility if you call the guy who is leading multiple companies...

Leads? How many Musk corps have you worked at? I have been at 2 of Elon's and one of Kimbal's, I can tell you from from first hand experience, neither of them 'lead' anything there and their titles are merely on paper.

They were merely figureheads, who came in for photo ops and to be seen on occasion (especially when things went wrong) and made their presence felt but that is the extent of it. Elon didn't sleep on the factory floor during Model 3 hell, he was shit posting photos of himself at Sparks in NV at the time: Panasonic was having major issues and was a major choke point for the battery packs all the while the assembly lines for M3 were being revised without his 'insight' at all.

I'm convinced it was him who did the whole crowdfund Elon a couch non-sense, despite him being a damn billionaire who can buy the entire work force a couch without noticing in his bank account, the whole thing smelled of a typical Elon clout chasing tactic.

(All he does is shit post all day on Twitter, how can he lead anything with his posting history?!)

Rather they both rely on an extensive team to handle day to day operations, and a deep pool of exploitable talent to achieve the goals: who eventually burn out in the process after countless iterations before things work correctly.

Go look at the average lifespan of workers at Tesla/SpaceX. It's incredibly short, in the best case of both it's only long enough to vest (the pay is horrible, but the stock options make up for it if you make it that long) but often layoffs or targeted firings (union threats) are often the cause for premature terminations as well.

It's really not hard to see that SpaceX is run by Shotwell, even as an outsider, and I wish she would stage a coup already as she has the loyalty of the rank and file there, unfortunately Elon's title as 'chief engineer' there remains and the way he has structured these companies post-paypal means he cannot be ousted.

That doesn't mean he shouldn't be, as he does more harm than good at this point.

Again, people want to simp for Elon having no first-hand experience and posting behind throwaways online is the extent of his marketing prowess (the only thing I think he really excels at) which makes him like a modern PT Barnum.