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Life expectancy rise in rich countries slows down: took 30 years to prove

(www.nature.com)
201 points andsoitis | 1 comments | 15 Oct 24 13:39 UTC | HN request time: 0.208s | source
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zaik ◴[16 Oct 24 05:30 UTC] No.41855911[source]▶

   Overall, the study found that children born since 2010 have a relatively small chance of living to 100 (5.1% chance for women and 1.8% chance for men). The most likely cohort to see a full century are women in Hong Kong, with a 12.8% chance.
How do you quantify the chance of a teenager living to 100?
replies(2): >>41856712 #>>41863869 #
1. ivanjermakov ◴[16 Oct 24 08:07 UTC] No.41856712[source]▶
Either they use some prediction model (accuracy of which is comparable to any 100-years-ahead predictions) or they keep hostage time travelers from 2120s.