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388 points replyifuagree | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.206s | source
1. jvans ◴[] No.37966887[source]
The problem is not with estimates themselves, but on giving point estimates. A better way of saying something will take 2 weeks, is that there's a 80% chance this takes less than weeks, 15% chance it takes 2-4 weeks and 5% chance 4+. But people have a hard time wrestling with uncertainty so they'd rather a point estimate that's wrong but makes them feel like they understand the situation