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322 points atomroflbomber | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.511s | source
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lelag ◴[] No.36983601[source]
If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...
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azinman2 ◴[] No.36986942[source]
We’re not getting AGI anytime soon…
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AbrahamParangi ◴[] No.36987177[source]
What exactly is your definition of a AGI? Because we’re already passing the Turing test, and so I have to wonder if this isn’t just moving the goalposts.
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emmanueloga_ ◴[] No.36988222[source]
Self consciousness. Human-level of reasoning. Feelings, etc.

We are NOT close to AGI.

* Fancy Markov chain (LLM) is not AGI.

* Stable diffusion style of image generation is NOT AGI.

* Fancy computer vision is NOT AGI.

Honestly, I don't think we are any closer to AGI. What we are seeing is the peak of "fancy tricks" for computer generated artifacts.

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1. AbrahamParangi ◴[] No.36989444[source]
Look carefully at these goals and tell me if these are materially falsifiable. Can you imagine a test that determines whether or not a system has self consciousness?

If such a test exists we could interrogate if a system of some design might pass it, but if such a test does not exist and we cannot even imagine it then you’re talking about something that is unfalsifiable - which is another way of saying “effectively fake”.

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2. azinman2 ◴[] No.36993327[source]
Consciousness is not important for AGI. Being able to learn new skills, adapt to new sensors, transfer knowledge across domains, learn at all, plan, replan, achieve under specified goals and more are what’s required for AGI.

Plenty has been written about the requirements for decades now. That hasn’t changed.