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Stripe Is Now a $20B Company

(www.bloomberg.com)
563 points jonknee | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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haaen ◴[] No.18079316[source]
Stripe is the second most valuable YC company. Total valuation of all companies that YC funded (more than 1,900) now exceeds 100 billon dollars.

Airbnb has a private valuation of 31 billion. Stripe has a private valuation of 20 billion. Dropbox has a public valuation (DBX) of 11 billion.

So the two most valuable companies account for about half the total value of all the YC companies. This is what a power law looks like!

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chadash ◴[] No.18080137[source]
And this is why Y Combinator may not be right for your startup. The 100 billion dollars of valuation listed on YC's website may not be up to date, but it's clear that the top 10% of companies make up the overwhelming majority of their portfolio. So they go for moonshots. And they also invest in multiple competitors in the same space in the hopes that one will pan out.

So if you're building the kind of company that might be worth $100 million someday but won't ever be worth $100 billion, VCs and startup incubators might not be right for you, but just remember that a rejection from them doesn't necessarily mean you aren't on to something great.

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1. colechristensen ◴[] No.18080549[source]
the top 10% of companies make up the overwhelming majority of their portfolio. So they go for moonshots

This is just a power law thing and what would be expected with any large group of companies.

Success isn't linear or a bell curve, people seem to understand those two distributions rather well power law distributions rather poorly.

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2. chadash ◴[] No.18080638[source]
> "This is just a power law thing"

Yes, every group of companies is going to have some winners and some losers. But VCs and (even more so) accelerators operate in a space where the power law produces a curve that is especially steep. The vast majority of their investments will fail entirely. In order to make up for this, they need a few big winners in order to make an overall rate of return that their investors expect.

If I'm investing in large cap consumer goods company stocks, that curve is likely to look much less steep since, for example, a company like Unilever is unlikely to fail completely.