We have no idea how to quantify the short-term effects. But increase the CO2 concentration in an insolated gas and its temperature will go up.
The default would be to assume the scientific consensus is correct, then being evidence/reasons to show when it's not.
Prove me please that you are able to read them not just tell some ignorant bs or I will not bother giving you that links. I'll wait for at least writing down the full set of rules by which it is possible to persuade you that the study is valid. Can it be a pdf on arxiv or Elsevier publication, or yellowpaper publication or anonymous blogpost? Do you have some requirements about who is (not) allowed to fund the scientists? What climate scientists do you respect, at least three persons? How do you understand "entropy" word in the context of climate?
I do not believe that you are arguing in good faith, or maybe your are just not capable of doing so?